We would like to invite you to share your insights and ideas with us about the following topic. How do you think the green-mobility industry will evolve? Please feel free to comment on this article or to contact us directly at info@floyd-associates.com.
A revolution has begun. A revolution that will transform personal and public mobility the way we know it. Reliance on fossil fuels as a source of energy and on the internal combustion engine for mobility is simply too risky and the public is finally understanding that the only way to obtain energy independence is to migrate from our addiction to fossil fuels to a reliance on renewable energy sources. Meanwhile, governments and companies from around the world are scrambling to stay ahead of the game and to emerge as winners in tomorrow’s green mobility industry.
No one knows who the big players in tomorrow’s automotive market will be but there is plenty of room for speculation. What we do know is that during such times of rapid change, it is inevitable that new players will emerge and old ones are forced to either restructure or downsize - if not close shop altogether. Nowhere is this more evident than in the present condition of the automotive industry in both in the United States and Europe.
China, however, has been swift to observe and act upon these trends. During the past few years, Chinese car companies have unveiled various models of electric vehicles from neighborhood electric cars to roomy sedans. BYD Auto, the Chinese auto maker, with only five years of experience in car manufacturing, now supplies more than 6 models and has plans to sell hybrids in the US. Founded in 1997, Chery Automobile Company is another example of a Chinese manufacturer that has been quick to build a successful Chinese brand of clean vehicles.
Aside from the manufacturing of vehicles, radically new approaches are also being taken by states and cities to integrate these technologies into our everyday lives. In the United States there is a continued move towards the creation of sustainable cities that minimize the negative effects of transportation and in turn enhance the livability of cities. For example, the mayors of both Portland and San Francisco are in fierce competition to make their respective cities the greenest on earth, with both cities battling to be the first to develop the infrastructure to support full-scale electric vehicle deployment. Of course, in Europe, many cities already have this infrastructure in place and it is used with varying degrees of success.
The question therefore becomes: given the pressures of the market to go green and the current economic climate, what is the ability for these types of innovative technologies to support the development of new modes of transportation and the infrastructure to support it? Are cities really becoming greener? Who will be the next big players in this industry? And is the market ready to adopt such changes?
We welcome your comments and thoughts.
Thursday, April 30, 2009
Monday, April 27, 2009
Global Diversification: Key to Profitable Investments
Despite the global crisis in the financial and real sectors of almost all economies around the world, and while most businesses have nothing on their agendas but downsizing, diversification is still the only safe bet. Prudent and cash rich investors have the most to gain from investing in undervalued assets during the current turbulent economic times. As a recent example, Deyaar Development recently announced that it is moving ahead with plans to expand internationally.
One of the largest developers in Dubai, Deyaar’s real estate ventures span across major growth corridors and prime locations in the UAE. According to its Chief Executive Officer, Markus Giebel, “we can take excess cash and buy land internationally. There is no better time to start international expansion.”
One of the largest developers in Dubai, Deyaar’s real estate ventures span across major growth corridors and prime locations in the UAE. According to its Chief Executive Officer, Markus Giebel, “we can take excess cash and buy land internationally. There is no better time to start international expansion.”
Monday, April 20, 2009
A Brief Look at Today’s Plug-in Hybrid and Electric Vehicles and the Companies that Are Revolutionizing an Old Industry
Plug-in Hybrids: Vehicles of Tomorrow
We have published a research report briefly analyzing plug-in hybrid and electric vehicles that are currently in development or being produced. The report classifies various types of “clean” vehicles and reviews the strengths and weaknesses of some of the old and new players in the sector.
The battery capacity that is needed for an all-electric vehicle is currently very costly. A Deutsche Bank study cites an average of $11,000 of additional cost for an all electric vehicle compared to a comparable gasoline powered vehicle. Also due to limitations in current technology the range for most all-electric vehicles is limited to about 100 miles and to up to 250 miles for high-end electric vehicles.
Compared to a gasoline powered vehicle a hybrid uses less fuel, has a smaller carbon footprint, and has a comparable range and performance. Due to the unpredictability of gas prices and increasing consumer demand for more fuel efficient vehicles the report projects that the demand for hybrids shall increase dramatically in the coming years.
To read the full report, please go to: www.floyd-associates.com/phev2.pdf.
We have published a research report briefly analyzing plug-in hybrid and electric vehicles that are currently in development or being produced. The report classifies various types of “clean” vehicles and reviews the strengths and weaknesses of some of the old and new players in the sector.
The battery capacity that is needed for an all-electric vehicle is currently very costly. A Deutsche Bank study cites an average of $11,000 of additional cost for an all electric vehicle compared to a comparable gasoline powered vehicle. Also due to limitations in current technology the range for most all-electric vehicles is limited to about 100 miles and to up to 250 miles for high-end electric vehicles.
Compared to a gasoline powered vehicle a hybrid uses less fuel, has a smaller carbon footprint, and has a comparable range and performance. Due to the unpredictability of gas prices and increasing consumer demand for more fuel efficient vehicles the report projects that the demand for hybrids shall increase dramatically in the coming years.
To read the full report, please go to: www.floyd-associates.com/phev2.pdf.
Monday, April 13, 2009
Advantages of Plug-in Hybrids
With a recent mandate that effectively requires major automakers to put at least 58,000 gas-electric vehicles on California roads by 2014, California has become a pioneer in new technology developments. After years of research and development the auto industry giants and startup companies are investing, researching and building prototype vehicles that can be fueled either with gas or electricity from a wall socket. General Motors and Toyota plan to launch PHEV versions by late 2010, while Honda and some smaller manufacturers are expected to follow.
"Plug-in hybrids are going to be the vehicle story of the next few years," said Joseph Romm, an energy policy expert with the Center for American Progress, a think tank in Washington, D.C. Plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEV) have the potential to revolutionize the auto industry over the next decade. This is because PHEVs could provide a cost-effective, practical solution to improving automotive fuel-economy and emissions. In short, Plug-in hybrids are vehicles that are powered by an on-board engine and a battery/electric motor that can be charged by plugging into the electric grid. This gives PHEVs an extended 20-40 mile all-electric driving range vs. current hybrids plus the ability to drive long-distances like a regular car.
To read the full report please go to http://www.floyd-associates.com/phev.pdf.
"Plug-in hybrids are going to be the vehicle story of the next few years," said Joseph Romm, an energy policy expert with the Center for American Progress, a think tank in Washington, D.C. Plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEV) have the potential to revolutionize the auto industry over the next decade. This is because PHEVs could provide a cost-effective, practical solution to improving automotive fuel-economy and emissions. In short, Plug-in hybrids are vehicles that are powered by an on-board engine and a battery/electric motor that can be charged by plugging into the electric grid. This gives PHEVs an extended 20-40 mile all-electric driving range vs. current hybrids plus the ability to drive long-distances like a regular car.
To read the full report please go to http://www.floyd-associates.com/phev.pdf.
Sunday, April 5, 2009
High Demand for Electric Vehicles
The high demand for electric and hybrid vehicles during the recent months has been strong despite predictions that the lower oil and fuel prices would reduce the favorability of such vehicles. Tesla Motors, recently unveiled its much anticipated Model S sedan and also announced that it had received 520 reservations for it. Persu Mobility (www.persumobility.com) has designed a revolutionary two-passenger, three-wheel vehicle based on a proprietary tilting technology and has more than 19,000 registrations for its product, planned to be mass produced in 2012.
Such trends indicate that consumers’ desire for clean and alternative transportation is not formed solely based on price. Energy independence and environmental conservation play instrumental roles in shaping our preferences. There is also a movement in the US that has mobilized the masses towards awareness of the reality of global warming and the role that the US economy plays both in generating greenhouse gasses and in potentially solving the problem.
The first steps towards a green tomorrow are now being taken. Future decades will take us closer to sustainable development and today’s startups will become conglomerates of future supplying our energy and eco-friendly products.
Such trends indicate that consumers’ desire for clean and alternative transportation is not formed solely based on price. Energy independence and environmental conservation play instrumental roles in shaping our preferences. There is also a movement in the US that has mobilized the masses towards awareness of the reality of global warming and the role that the US economy plays both in generating greenhouse gasses and in potentially solving the problem.
The first steps towards a green tomorrow are now being taken. Future decades will take us closer to sustainable development and today’s startups will become conglomerates of future supplying our energy and eco-friendly products.
Thursday, April 2, 2009
China Vies to Be World’s Leader in Electric Cars
I read this story by Keith Bradsher and thought it depicts an interesting picture of China's policies towards green vehicles.
The goal, which radiates from the very top of the Chinese government, suggests that Detroit’s Big Three, already struggling to stay alive, will face even stiffer foreign competition on the next field of automotive technology than they do today.
“China is well positioned to lead in this,” said David Tulauskas, director of China government policy at General Motors. To some extent, China is making a virtue of a liability. It is behind the United States, Japan and other countries when it comes to making gas-powered vehicles, but by skipping the current technology, China hopes to get a jump on the next.
Japan is the market leader in hybrids today, which run on both electricity and gasoline, with cars like the Toyota Prius and Honda Insight. The United States has been a laggard in alternative vehicles. GM's plug-in hybrid Chevrolet Volt is scheduled to go on sale next year, and will be assembled in Michigan using rechargeable batteries imported from LG in South Korea.
China’s intention, in addition to creating a world-leading industry that will produce jobs and exports, is to reduce urban pollution and decrease its dependence on oil, which comes from the Mideast and travels over sea routes controlled by the United States Navy.
But electric vehicles may do little to clear the country’s smog-darkened sky or curb its rapidly rising emissions of global warming gases. China gets three-fourths of its electricity from coal, which produces more soot and more greenhouse gases than other fuels.
A report by McKinsey & Company last autumn estimated that replacing a gasoline-powered car with a similar-size electric car in China would reduce greenhouse emissions by only 19 percent. It would reduce urban pollution, however, by shifting the source of smog from car exhaust pipes to power plants, which are often located outside cities.
Beyond manufacturing, subsidies of up to $8,800 are being offered to taxi fleets and local government agencies in 13 Chinese cities for each hybrid or all-electric vehicle they purchase. The state electricity grid has been ordered to set up electric car charging stations in Beijing, Shanghai and Tianjin. Government research subsidies for electric car designs are increasing rapidly. And an interagency panel is planning tax credits for consumers who buy alternative energy vehicles.
China wants to raise its annual production capacity to 500,000 hybrid or all-electric cars and buses by the end of 2011, from 2,100 last year, government officials and Chinese auto executives said. By comparison, CSM Worldwide, a consulting firm that does forecasts for automakers, predicts that Japan and South Korea together will be producing 1.1 million hybrid or all-electric light vehicles by then and North America will be making 267,000.
The US DOE has its own $25 billion program to develop electric-powered cars and improve battery technology, and will receive another $2 billion for battery development as part of the economic stimulus program enacted by Congress.
And Premier Wen has his own connection to the electric car industry. He was born and grew up here in Tianjin, the longtime capital of China’s battery industry, 70 miles southeast of Beijing.
Tianjin has thrived in the six years since Mr. Wen became premier. It now has China’s first bullet train service (to Beijing), a new Airbus factory and an immaculate new airport. Tianjin has also received a surge of research subsidies for enterprises like the Tianjin-Qingyuan Electric Vehicle Company.
Electric cars have several practical advantages in China. Intercity driving is rare. Commutes are fairly short and frequently at low speeds because of traffic jams. So the limitations of all-electric cars — the latest models in China have a top speed of 60 miles an hour and a range of 120 miles between charges — are less of a problem.
The goal, which radiates from the very top of the Chinese government, suggests that Detroit’s Big Three, already struggling to stay alive, will face even stiffer foreign competition on the next field of automotive technology than they do today.
“China is well positioned to lead in this,” said David Tulauskas, director of China government policy at General Motors. To some extent, China is making a virtue of a liability. It is behind the United States, Japan and other countries when it comes to making gas-powered vehicles, but by skipping the current technology, China hopes to get a jump on the next.
Japan is the market leader in hybrids today, which run on both electricity and gasoline, with cars like the Toyota Prius and Honda Insight. The United States has been a laggard in alternative vehicles. GM's plug-in hybrid Chevrolet Volt is scheduled to go on sale next year, and will be assembled in Michigan using rechargeable batteries imported from LG in South Korea.
China’s intention, in addition to creating a world-leading industry that will produce jobs and exports, is to reduce urban pollution and decrease its dependence on oil, which comes from the Mideast and travels over sea routes controlled by the United States Navy.
But electric vehicles may do little to clear the country’s smog-darkened sky or curb its rapidly rising emissions of global warming gases. China gets three-fourths of its electricity from coal, which produces more soot and more greenhouse gases than other fuels.
A report by McKinsey & Company last autumn estimated that replacing a gasoline-powered car with a similar-size electric car in China would reduce greenhouse emissions by only 19 percent. It would reduce urban pollution, however, by shifting the source of smog from car exhaust pipes to power plants, which are often located outside cities.
Beyond manufacturing, subsidies of up to $8,800 are being offered to taxi fleets and local government agencies in 13 Chinese cities for each hybrid or all-electric vehicle they purchase. The state electricity grid has been ordered to set up electric car charging stations in Beijing, Shanghai and Tianjin. Government research subsidies for electric car designs are increasing rapidly. And an interagency panel is planning tax credits for consumers who buy alternative energy vehicles.
China wants to raise its annual production capacity to 500,000 hybrid or all-electric cars and buses by the end of 2011, from 2,100 last year, government officials and Chinese auto executives said. By comparison, CSM Worldwide, a consulting firm that does forecasts for automakers, predicts that Japan and South Korea together will be producing 1.1 million hybrid or all-electric light vehicles by then and North America will be making 267,000.
The US DOE has its own $25 billion program to develop electric-powered cars and improve battery technology, and will receive another $2 billion for battery development as part of the economic stimulus program enacted by Congress.
And Premier Wen has his own connection to the electric car industry. He was born and grew up here in Tianjin, the longtime capital of China’s battery industry, 70 miles southeast of Beijing.
Tianjin has thrived in the six years since Mr. Wen became premier. It now has China’s first bullet train service (to Beijing), a new Airbus factory and an immaculate new airport. Tianjin has also received a surge of research subsidies for enterprises like the Tianjin-Qingyuan Electric Vehicle Company.
Electric cars have several practical advantages in China. Intercity driving is rare. Commutes are fairly short and frequently at low speeds because of traffic jams. So the limitations of all-electric cars — the latest models in China have a top speed of 60 miles an hour and a range of 120 miles between charges — are less of a problem.
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